Handicapping Baseball Totals

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Totals
  1. Handicapping Baseball Totals Mlb
  2. Handicapping Baseball Totals 2019
  3. Baseball Handicapping Sites
  4. Handicapping Baseball Totals For Today
Handicapping Baseball Totals

Betting Baseball Totals
by Trevor Whenham - 03/30/2007

Bettors that are already familiar and comfortable with betting totals in football or basketball may want to expand their range to betting baseball totals. Though some of the concepts are the same between baseball totals and those other sports (the public loves the over, for example), the decidedly smaller range of scores decreases the margin of error and makes your calculations and certainty more important.

When you are handicapping totals there are five factors you need to consider if you want to come to a conclusion quickly with a reasonable chance of success - pitching, offenses, trends, ballpark and weather.

Handicapping Baseball Totals

Start Betting on Baseball with the best Handicapping Baseball Totals, Bet on Baseball like a Pro with exclusive Free Baseball Handicapping Picks and Baseball Betting Lines. There is an old baseball adage that pitching is 90% of the game. Judging from the 2005 Major League Baseball results; that statement bears tremendous wisdom and insight. Looking at the chart from above, we know that 7 and 9 are the two most common totals. Since a game cannot end in a tie, games that are tied at 3-3 or 4-4 through nine innings will always end with (at least) one more run. That means the difference between betting 7 and betting 7.5 is massive. The same can be said for 9 and 9.5. ATS Calculator takes the average scores of each offensive and defensive situations and calculates the end result into a summary average, and gives users the breakdown on which team has the. Calculator Asian handicap (AH) in sports betting. Automated Asian total calc for free online. How to calculate expected return of bets?

When you look at the pitchers you want to determine how many runs they generally give up along with their overall consistency and the form they are currently in. It is more likely that a lot of runs are going to be scored in a game when two fourth or fifth starters are matching up than if two aces are heading for a showdown. A total stands a better chance of getting passed if one or both bullpens have been struggling, or if an injury means that a key reliever won't be available. The pitcher is probably the single biggest factor contributing to the total of a game.

Handicapping Baseball Totals Mlb

Comparing the offenses of the two teams can often uncover total opportunities. If two teams have struggled all year to score runs then they may be more likely to go under. Two potent offenses will often score enough runs to trump any total that bookmakers could set. When a strong offense meets a weaker offense, then no likely outcome is immediately clear, and other factors will have to be considered instead.

Baseball is a game of streaks and trends. If a team is clicking offensively then they are usually going to pile up the points several games in a row. If a team starts struggling it can often get stuck in a rut and find it difficult to score for an extended time. When two teams on similar streaks clash, then betting magic can occur.

The ballpark can make a significant difference in the potential outcome of a game. Petco Park in San Diego with its cavernous outfield is one of the harder fields for teams to put runs on the board. Anaheim, Oakland and Washington are also stingy. Coors Field in Denver, on the other hand, is a very easy place to score. Putting the balls in the humidor has helped, but it is still a pitcher's nightmare. Kansas City, Arizona and Baltimore are other venues where runs are comparatively easy to come by. Some ballparks lend themselves more to overs or unders than others, and those effects can be compounded when you add strong or struggling offenses, or pitchers that are doing well or are struggling.

The weather can have a very significant impact on the total in some situations. A strong wind over the outfield fence can turn easy fly balls into home runs. A wind towards home plate can render the greatest slugger useless. A clear day allows teams to play as well as they might. A cold day won't allow pitchers to be at their best. An especially hot day may cause problems with energy for both teams. Spending the time to investigate the weather before you make a bet is easy to do thanks to the Internet, and it can be well worth the effort.

Handicapping Baseball Totals 2019

In football, betting centers around the key numbers of three and seven. Baseball has its own key numbers that, though not as strong as three is, certainly need to be considered when handicapping totals. Almost a third of all games end with totals of seven, nine or 11. The reason for the commonness of those numbers is extra innings. A game that is tied after nine innings is most often going to end with a team winning by one run. A 3-3 tie, then, would likely end with a total of seven, a 4-4 tie would hit nine, and a 5-5 tie would finish at 11. Those results, along with the different ways those totals could be reached in a regulation game, account for their regular appearance. This is relevant in two ways. First, if a total is moving due to heavy betting, then you will want to time your bet to best take advantage of your belief compared to a key number. 9.5 is way better than 9 if you are betting the under, for example.

This also means that shopping for the best available line is just as important here as it is in all other betting. Some books may set or move their line a half a point ahead or behind other books. Finding the best opportunities for your vision of the game can save you huge amounts of money over the long run. Over the long term it makes sense to move down the half point even if it costs you a few cents extra juice because of the extra wins.

Baseball Handicapping Sites

Because baseball betting is all about grinding out a profit with a large number of bets over the course of the season, totals can play a significant role in your arsenal. The biggest advantage in many cases is the price. Totals are offered at prices close to even. That can be a way to find action on a game at a reasonable place when you are dealing with a favorite that you are confident is going to win, but which is at a price that doesn't warrant a bet.

Handicapping Baseball Totals For Today

Free Online Baseball Handicapping Notes - By Doc's Sports

Kansas City at Cleveland (July 23,24,25)
The Royals are in a sorry state as August approaches (5.02 team E.R.A., .255 BA, which amounts to dead last in the American League). They posses a 12-31 road record, which makes them unusable as any type of play. Kansas City traded away there best player in Carlos Beltran, and would like to dump more of their veterans in order to stockpile young minor league talent. Last year was a fluke when this team finished near .500 and we don't expect that to happen again any time soon. The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins should dominate the division. The Indians continue to hover near the .500 mark and we welcome the opportunity to take them especially here at Jacobs Field. Cleveland is scoring more than five runs per game and they will be one of the few teams to watch as the pennant race heats up. The Indians did a superb job of rebuilding once the 2001 season ended. They traded away all of there high priced veterans except for SS Omar Vizquel and have great young talent in Casey Blake and Travis Hafner. This is a team that if kept together could be a contender for years to come. We will take the Tribe in all three games and expect them to show a healthy profit. Most games come down to who has the better players and when Cleveland and Kansas City square off there is a decided advantage favoring the Tribe.
St. Louis at Cincinnati (July 26,27,28)
The Cardinals are rolling at nearly thirty games over .500 this season. The posses the best record in baseball and have won eight of the ten games played against Cincinnati this season. We expect nothing but the same as this series resumes along the Ohio River.
Cincinnati's pitching is finally catching up to them. Their bullpen is overworked and their starters seldom ever see the sixth inning. This is a recipe for disaster as the season winds on. Counter this with Ken Griffey Jr. out of the line-up and that points directly to a pounding that will be handed out by the Cardinals.
St. Louis has the best road record in baseball (31-16) and we think the Reds will be hard pressed to finish the season above .500. Play the Cards in all three games and watch your pocketbook grow.
Last week's record on series write-ups 5-3
Best of Luck with your weekend's wagers - Doc's Sports
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