Good Parlay Picks
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We were so close to glory last week. Why, oh why, couldn’t the Broncos complete an improbable comeback for a second week in a row?
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Ideally, they’d have never been down big in the first place, but that’s how things played out. Anyone who went with our NFL parlay picks last week got a fun sweat, at least, as Denver had the ball in the final minute with a chance to force overtime.
This, after I got wins out of the Ravens (-160), the Seahawk vs. Bills game going Over (-110), and the Panthers beating a 10.5-point spread (-110).
If you targeted those individual bets, you won. If you strung those three picks together on a parlay, you would have won that, too. I aimed high and attached the Broncos to last week’s parlay, and it’s all for nothing.
This is the downside of NFL parlays, but we’re back to do it again in week 10. With that, here’s my favorite parlay picks for NFL week 10, 2020.
This spread is just too thick. Green Bay answered the call by covering a 7-point spread at San Francisco in their last game, but two full touchdowns?
These big spreads are hard for anyone to cover, and keep in mind, for the Packers to get you the win, they actually need to win by 15.
Why should we trust the Jaguars on the road? First, because Green Bay’s defense still isn’t very good. Their run defense has gotten gashed routinely, and James Robinson is good enough to take advantage of the matchup.
James Robinson faces off against the Packers this week, who are allowing the 2nd-most points to opposing running backs. Is 200 yards and 2 TD's a realistic expectation?
— Dave Kluge (@dkluge90) November 10, 2020
Jake Luton – albeit in a small sample size – also looks like an improvement upon Gardner Minshew II. He didn’t shy away from the big moment, either, as he scored a late touchdown and nearly forced overtime last week.
I doubt Jacksonville wins. If so, the Packers are more fraudulent than anyone imagined. But they can come in, put up some points, and beat a 14-point spread. That’s a pretty good way to start your week 10 NFL parlay.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) -105
Betting on the Eagles to beat the Giants and get the season sweep feels a lot safer than asking them to win by four points. While true, this isn’t a mountain of a spread, and it feels more than doable.
New York has admittedly been very competitive. They barely lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and they’ve played several close games on the year. Heck, they almost beat these very Eagles just a couple of games ago.
That said, the Eagles are the better team, and they’re getting healthy at the right time.
Doug Pederson says Lane Johnson will be at practice today and time off was good for Lane
— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) November 11, 2020
Miles Sanders and Isaac Seumalo will get work in this week pic.twitter.com/DcAHYuz0Ia
If Philly is ever going to start proving they’re worthy of winning the NFC East and competing in the playoffs, they need to win some of these games a bit more convincingly. I think they do just that in week 10.
The Buccaneers were next level atrocious last week. They inexplicably ran the ball five times in a 38-3 beating by the hands of the Saints, and Tom Brady seemed to show his age.
Is the arrival of Antonio Brown that cancerous of a move? Maybe, but this feels more like an anomaly than anything else.
Traditionally, Brady bounces back in a big way following stinkers like this, and his teams tend to follow suit. Thankfully, the Bucs get a Panthers team they beat by two touchdowns earlier this year, and Carolina will also be without top rusher, Christian McCaffrey.
Panthers’ RB Christian McCaffrey is not expected to play Sunday against Tampa Bay due to a right shoulder, per sources. McCaffrey now will be considered week to week.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 11, 2020
Feel bad for the Panthers this week, my friends. Feel very, very bad.
Seattle Seahawks to Win (EVEN)
Speaking of guys and teams that will bounce back in week 10, are we really about to bet against Russell Wilson?
I don’t want to. Not only does that very rarely work, but the 6-2 Seahawks have a massive game against the 5-3 Los Angeles Rams. This basically is for first place in the NFC West, and win or lose, it just isn’t a situation I can envision Wilson laying another egg.
Wilson is very much on an NFL MVP campaign trail this year, and this is the type of game that helps cement it. He’s been so good this year, that we have to believe he’ll get it going again and rally the troops for a big road win.
Seattle’s defense promises to make it interesting, and we should have a shootout on our hands. But if Wilson can have the last shot, I see him and the Seahawks getting bettors a win at a pretty solid price.
Top Week 10 NFL Parlay Bet
- Jacksonville Jaguars (+14) -115
- Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) -105
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) -110
- Seattle Seahawks to Win (EVEN)
I like this string of bets, as it feels like a low-risk NFL parlay, even though it offers loads of upside. Instead of betting on straight-up winners (which I’d admittedly prefer to do with Philly and Tampa Bay), we can bite on mild point spreads.
We’re still getting $1,293.68 back for every $100 bet at Bovada, which is pretty awesome. Each pick needs to hit, of course.
I’ve detailed why I think that happens for all four of these bets. As usual, you can roll with my parlay picks for week 10 as they stand, you can add or subtract, or you can just target these bets individually.
For a bit more betting advice for the NFL in week 10, hit some of the links below.
The NFL is back and we have coverage for every game, handing out free top NFL picks and odds analysis as always. We were able to hit big wins in the first three weeks, and Week 4 has some juicy lines for us to take on for parlay combinations. We have a couple of juicy line-busting parlays to line your pockets with.
Midwest Madness
Colts vs. Bears / Saints vs. Lions
The first parlay we’re going to attack sees two modest lines for clearly better teams hitting the road. While it’s difficult to trust certain teams on the road in cooler weather, there’s certain coaching mismatches that must be trusted when it comes to betting. These two games fit the criteria perfectly.
The Colts have a clearly better overall team than the Bears even as Nick Foles takes over for bust Mitchell Trubisky. The two-point line is proper respect for the Colts and the revitalized Philip Rivers, but I see value here because I don’t foresee Frank Reich getting outcoached by Matt Nagy. The totality of the situation looks like a good play for the Colts.
Then we see Sean Payton against Matt Patricia in a massive mismatch. Alvin Kamara has been unstoppable in recent games and there’s not a single defender capable of slowing him on the Lions defense. The Lions are still a freefall candidate even after their shocking win against Arizona last week.
Fears of Drew Brees struggling on the road aren’t quite as large because the game is inside. The Lions’ offense can be troublesome now that Adrian Peterson has taken control of the backfield, but the Saints should be one-touchdown better even on the road considering their roster quality.
Parlay:
NFC Contenders
Seahawks vs. Dolphins / Browns vs. Cowboys
It’s scary to bet on West Coast teams coming East for an early game, but my goodness the Seahawks’ offense makes it hard to resist taking them against a bad Miami team. Sure, the Dolphins took care of business last week against the fellow lowly Jaguars, but don’t be confused: this Dolphins team is far off from real contention due to their lack of playmakers.
The Seahawks’ secondary is banged up and hasn’t played as well as their talent indicates they should, so this game will likely be right around the 6.5 spread. The Seahawks should win by more as Russell Wilson tries to keep up with Patrick Mahomes’ MVP bid.
The other game to pair with it is a fascinating matchup between fan bases that talk a lot of trash but have underachieving teams. Both Cleveland and Dallas have talented rosters that should be in the playoffs but there’s a sense of uneasiness every week for both franchises even with new coaches. Is this the week both play up to their competition and come out with a key victory?
I think we know enough about Baker Mayfield and the Browns to say he’ll likely not play well against a good team based on his past struggles. At least Dak Prescott plays well in big games, and that’ll be the difference as they play at home.
Parlay:
Destroy Bad Teams
Ravens vs. Washington / Giants vs. Rams
Good Parlay Picks Spread
Taking two-score lines is a scary proposition but some teams match up in a way where we can’t ignore the favorite. That’s the case this week as Baltimore and the Los Angeles Rams will destroy their competition to embarrassing levels. The rosters are heavily skewed one way and the stylistic matchup couldn’t be much worse for neither Washington nor the Giants.
Washington loves to throw despite Dwayne Haskins’ lack of surrounding cast and struggles within the pocket, and the Ravens are coming off a humiliating performance where the secondary was exploited. The Ravens will be ballhawking and motivated to bounce back in a big way. Also there’s the Lamar Jackson revenge game we’re sure to see as he failed to break 100 yards passing against the Chiefs.
Good Parlay Picks Odds
The Rams will also have a field day against the Giants thanks to schematic advantages. The Giants are one of the worst play-action defending teams in the league and they’re facing a top-three offense in that category. Jared Goff has been excellent this year, and his surrounding receivers are a nightmare matchup for the barren secondary of the Giants.
It’ll be a long day as Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd try to force more mistakes out of Daniel Jones.
Parlay: